I'm going to start this off by saying one day I might feel one way, the other day I might feel another.
On Friday, I thought Kerry Wood would be a better add than Trevor Hoffman.
Today, I'm learning more towards the other side.
I'm not sure why, but I'm pretty sure I can.
Either way... Here is what you should be reading and thinking about today as we wait for the CC Ball to Drop.
By the By, anyone else hope he doesn't sign with the Yankees for the pure fact that he could open up their new stadium against the team that raised him?
Uh.. Yeah.. That would be fun. We would need to kick his ass however.
Terry Pluto makes a case with some key statistics, one's that show Hoffman's second half recovered from his awful first half. Look Hoffman is exactly what we had with Joe Borowski. However Hoffman doesn't throw as many stupid pitches.
It looks like the Indians are being active about this idea, like Shapiro promised. They aren't sitting around in wait and see-mode, they are going after every option out there, including Hoffman.
HOWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWEVA
Ken Rosenthal has brought up one of the ideas I've brought up and supported and one of the idea's I've been dead set against.
Instead of signing a Wood or Hoffman, possibly signing both Juan Cruz and Jeremy Affeldt.
No.. Don't do that.
Don't go do that..
We need to decide on ONE GUY.. If that's signing Juan Cruz and making him the closer or making Jensen the closer, or signing Hoffman and making him the closer. We can't be going around saying well we'll see what our options are.
We need to make a decision. Can't go around doing this, let's sign them both and see what happens business.
Now that've gotten that out of the way, let me go ahead and tell you that Jeremy Affeldt has just signed with the San Francisco Giants.
I know, I know.. I just dragged you through all that.. But the truth is, that news came down when I was in the process of writing this entry. I'm rather sneaky aren't I? What I find crazy is that Keith Law says that Affeldt is the second best relief option out there.. What...
We've got a couple of mailbags and Q&A's out today.
Let's see if Hoynes is in a better mood this week.
Yiiiiiiiiiiikes.. Not Adam Miller sir.. Maybe if his latest move to the bullpen doesn't work out, way too valuable to be doing that.Hey, Hoynsie: Tell me what you think of the Indians sending Wes Hodges, Ben Francisco and Adam Miller or Aaron Laffey to Colorado for Huston Street and Garrett Atkins. This trade would solidify the Tribe's infield and closer situation, while clearing space in the outfield for Matt LaPorta or Michael Brantley. -- Nick Kellogg, Chicago.
Hey, Nick: I'm not sure how badly the Rockies need Hodges. They think Ian Stewart can replace Atkins at third, but I think you're on the right track. Francisco could help them replace Matt Holliday, and Laffey's sinker could serve him well in the thin air of Coors Field.
Word out of Colorado is that GM Dan O'Dowd wants to keep Street, but he may be posturing.
The Indians, on the other hand, have to be careful about giving up any pitching because of the hole they have in the middle of the rotation. Miller, reportedly, is starting to pitch well in the Dominican Republic.
Interesting comment from Paul on Hoffman.
Hey, Angelo: I think Hoffman could fool enough American League hitters with his change-up to be effective for at least a year. The problem will be getting him to leave Southern California. The Indians are interested, but to what degree remains to be seen.Well.. If that's the case, we should sign that man up to a one year deal. I can't see anyone giving him more than two. Does he want more than two? Can he be effective past one? Ohhh so many questions.
This one makes me laugh.
Hey, Hoynsie: Why not take a look at Russell Branyan at third base? The Indians could probably sign him to a low-risk contract. He has good power, decent on-base percentage and OPS [on-base plus slugging percentage]. I know he strikes out a lot, but so does Grady Sizemore. -- James Lazarus, Cleveland.You know if his name wasn't Russell Branyan, I'd sign him and one other guy to compete at Third if we can't find a third baseman. Better that than Marte, right?Hey, James: You've seen a lot of Branyan. I've seen a lot of Branyan and so have the Indians.
If they're going to bring back an old third baseman, I'd rather it be Casey Blake.
Ehhhhhhhh.
Suck... No seriously.. I've been saying stuff about this cheap competition fix if there isn't a viable third baseman out there. Wouldn't be completely shocked if it happened.
I don't know if I've portrayed the emotion before, but I like Anthony Castrovince more than Paul Hoynes. No not because Castrovince is Italian and his brother is a local sports guy for my home town in Youngstown, but his corny jokes rock and well, Hoynes is rather cold as we saw last week.
Castrovince's mailbag is a perfect example of corny jokes.
It looks like Shin-Soo Choo won't avoid military duty for his native country of South Korea, however he will still play in the World Baseball Classic next year if asked.
Do you think the Indians could pay the South Korean army off after this year if he puts up good numbers? Maybe send them a player in return? Like a trade. Andy Marte perhaps?
Poor Andy.
Speaking of Andy Marte. A question was asked what the Indians problem is with Andy Marte.. Now I've been a supporter of giving Marte a chance more than anyone, but.. Come on MAN!
"The Indians really seem to take issue with Marte's inability to hit in the big leagues. That has irked them, for some reason. " - Anthony Castrovince
That's pretty much it bub.
Tony Lastoria of the Indians Prospect Insider has a Minor League Depth Chart up. His is different than what the one I have is about.
Tony's is basically an offseason thing used for projections rather than what mine is, more of an in-season snapshot.
He prjoects Aaron Laffey to be in Columbus, as well as David Huff, which means we make a move to get a starting pitcher, Anthony Reyes is a starter, and Jeremy Sowers wins a spot.
We'll talk more about the minor leagues in the slow part of the offseason but MAAAAAAN how insane is that outfield going to be if we don't trade anyone? LaPorta, Brantley and Crow all hitting in the top of the lineup, probably the top three spots even, maybe LaPorta hits cleanup. Throw in Hodges, one of those Catchers, maybe Aubrey. The calvary is coming if we need it, things are looking good.
Along those lines. I don't usually point out his pieces on certain players, mainly because I actually don't have much time to read them, but if you read one, read his Chuck Lofgren article.
Lofgren has been dealing with the fact that his mother developed cancer and was fighting for her life. Things are looking up though and hopefully for both Chuck and the Indians, that means his career can progress like they thought it would.
Brad Penny is working hard this offseason.. I still wonder how much he'd want and how long of a deal would he want. He could fall into that one-year get back on your feet signing if no one else wants to commit.
Now... Last bit of news. It looks as if we've lost Matt Whitney.... AGAIN!
Whitney was taken by the Nationals in the Rule V draft last year and eventually returned.. We made a cool $25,000 on that one. Anyway, Whitney was a MLFA and I guess the road to the majors isn't real clear if he stays in the Cleveland organization, so I see the move as a positive one for him. Who knows where he would have started if he were to re-sign with the Indians.
Best of luck to Matt with his new-old club, the Washington Nationals, who must have liked what they saw in him, now they get a chance to send him from the minors to the majors if he makes an impression in Spring Training.
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3 comments:
If wood can be got for 3/14 and Hoffman for 2/11, why would the Indians ever consider signing Hoffman? Annualzied it's cheaper and clearly the bullpen role works for Wood. He is the kind of high-leverage reliever that is actually effective at winning games rather than compiling saves. Wood is an injury-risk, yes, but Hoffman is as well because he's old and he could retire at any time (a la Keith foulke) because he misses the West Coast.
Just a primer: saves are a worthless statistic and the idea of a closer's mentality is overrated. Get a bunch of good pitchers, play the splits and any time after your starting pitcher has departed and you are in a high-leverage situation: throw out your "closer" who should be the best reliever on your staff. Let the other guys start blank slate innings.
If Wood comes at a cheap price, I'd sign him too. But will he sign for that? Trust me, I want Wood, but at what cost for a guy who could break down? I guess you could say the same for Hoffman hitting the old wall at any time, but he wouldn't cost as much at a longer amount of time.
Worthless? Come on now Charlie... Overrated? How so? You can't just throw a successful pitcher into the closer's role and expect him to succeed. I think you are way off-base on that idea. Brad Lidge proved that there is a mental aspect to that. He got killed and was never the same until this year. There is just something about pitching in the ninth inning that changes things for some people. I'm not sure how you can deny that and say it's overrated.
When has a closer by committee ever worked for a Major League team? I'm all for signing a bunch of arms for the pen at fair prices and increasing your odds of finding production. But play the splits when it comes to the ninth? Not a fan.
How is the save a worthless statistic? Go to any site that is using progressive analysis, and ask them. Seriously, they will start throwing stats at you until you are blue in the face.
The save statistic is worthless (what is a more critical situation in the course of a game? A 3-run lead with bases loaded in the 8th, or 3-run lead with bases empty in the 9th?) One nets you a save, and one doesn't.
I am by no means arguing against the fact that certain pitchers perform better/worse in tight spots than others. I am simply arguing that as a baseball community we should expand the "tight-spot definition" beyond solely the 9th inning. Currently we are operating with an arbitrary set of runs, outs, and runners-on to define when to use your "best" pitchers. Now, you may put more credence on anecdotal examples of pitchers performing well under pressure, that is fine, I think that over 162 games, the importance of playing the numbers is paramount and should be strictly adhered to.
Bottom line: if you have a lefty specialist who holds lefties to 200/250/300 and an elite "closer" who throws 99mph, with a biting slider, but lefties go 220/265/330, why wouldnt you throw the lefty against the lefty and bring in the closer afterward?
I'm not talking about closer by committee, I'm talking about effectively managing the game situations as they come up. If situational pitching works in the 7th/8th, why shouldn't it work in the 9th? I'll buy the mental aspect mitigates some pitchers, some of the time, but to use it as a general rule when constructing a roster and managing a team is slapping statistics, analysis, and baseball, right in the face.
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